THINK INSIDE THE BOX · TOOL 09 · B2 · 50 min

The Seed Nobody Wanted

A better kind of corn took years to spread across Iowa. Two researchers asked the farmers why — and a farm boy turned their answer into the curve every tech company now studies.

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Today: you'll learn the true story of the famous adoption curve, use it to sort six people, and practise talking about past habits: used to, would, didn't use to.
Before we start — talk these through:
  • Are you usually one of the first to try new technology, or do you wait? Why?
  • Who do you trust most when you are deciding whether to try something new — experts, advertising or friends?
  • Think of something your grandparents used to do that almost nobody does now.

The vocabulary of this story

Ten items. Say your answer out loud before you reveal it.

A · What do they mean here? Work it out from the context

Read the sentence, guess the meaning of the word in bold, then reveal.

With the new seed, the farm's yield rose from forty to fifty bags of corn per field.
yield — the amount of crops (or profit) that something produces.
After months without rain, the drought destroyed most of the crops.
drought — a long period with little or no rain.
My grandfather was sceptical about online banking — he didn't believe it was safe.
sceptical — doubting that something is true or will work.
The salesman couldn't persuade her, but her sister did in five minutes.
persuade — to make someone agree to do or believe something by giving reasons.

B · Which word matches the meaning?

The three words are: peer · chasm · trend. Read each meaning, say the word, then reveal.

(noun) A general direction in which things are changing or developing.
trend — “There's a growing trend towards working from home.”
(noun) A person of the same age, job or social group as you.
peer — “Teenagers care a lot about what their peers think.”
(noun) A very deep crack in the ground — or a very big difference between two groups.
chasm — “There is a chasm between what the company promises and what it delivers.”

C · Which word completes all three phrases?

One missing word fits every phrase in the group. Say it, then reveal.

___ a new technology  ·  ___ a child  ·  ___ a new policy
adopt — to start using something new; to take a child legally into your family. The people who start using something are adopters.
the news ___ quickly  ·  ___ the word  ·  ___ butter on toast
spread — to move to more places or people; to cover a surface.
take a ___  ·  a risky ___  ·  ___ your savings on a new business
gamble — a risk taken in the hope of success (noun or verb).

Now use them — out loud

Before we read:
  • What is one trend you have noticed among your peers recently?
  • What new technology were you sceptical about at first? What persuaded you?
  • What was the biggest gamble you have taken?

The story, in three parts

Read each part. After it, answer the quick check from memory, then discuss one question.

Part 1 — A better seed

In the 1920s, most farmers in Iowa, in the middle of the United States, grew corn in the same way their parents had. After each harvest, they would keep some of the best corn and plant it the next spring. It cost nothing, and it had always worked.

Then scientists developed hybrid seed corn, made by carefully crossing different plants. It was stronger and gave a much bigger yield — around a fifth more corn, according to many reports. It became available to Iowa farmers in the late 1920s.

But there was a catch. Hybrid seed didn't grow well a second time, so farmers had to buy new seed every single year. For people who used to get their seed for free, that felt like a big gamble. Many farmers were sceptical. At first, only a handful tried it. Yet by the early 1940s, almost every farmer in the areas studied was using it. What changed their minds?

Quick check — from memory, then reveal:

1. How did Iowa farmers use to get their seed?

2. What was better about hybrid corn?

3. Why was the new seed a gamble for farmers?

1. They kept some of their best corn from each harvest and planted it the next spring.

2. It was stronger and produced a much bigger yield.

3. They had to buy new seed every year instead of getting it for free.

Discuss:
  • If something is clearly better, why might people still refuse to try it?

Part 2 — Two researchers and 259 farmers

In 1941, two sociologists at Iowa State College, Bryce Ryan and Neal Gross, decided to find out. They visited two farming communities and interviewed 259 farmers, asking each one when he had first heard about hybrid corn, when he had first planted it, and what had convinced him.

Their results, published in 1943, surprised many people. Most farmers had first heard about the seed from salesmen — but salesmen rarely persuaded them. What persuaded them was seeing the new corn working on a neighbour's farm, and hearing about it from people they trusted. The seed didn't spread like an advertisement. It spread like a conversation.

When Ryan and Gross put the dates on a chart, they found a clear shape. For the first few years, only a few adventurous farmers planted hybrid corn. Then, as more and more neighbours tried it, the numbers rose quickly. Finally, the last farmers joined — slowly, and sometimes only when they had no real choice.

Quick check — from memory, then reveal:

1. How many farmers did Ryan and Gross interview?

2. Where did most farmers first hear about the seed, and what actually persuaded them?

3. Describe the shape of the adoption pattern.

1. 259.

2. From salesmen — but they were persuaded by seeing it work on neighbours' farms and hearing about it from people they trusted.

3. Slow at first, then a quick rise as neighbours joined, then a slow finish with the last farmers.

Discuss:
  • Today, do people still trust neighbours and friends more than advertising? What has changed?

Part 3 — The farm boy's curve

One young man who read the Iowa study had grown up on an Iowa farm himself: Everett Rogers. He later said that his own father had been slow to trust the new seed — even after a terrible drought in 1936, when the hybrid corn on neighbouring farms survived far better. Rogers began to collect every study he could find about how new ideas spread — among farmers, doctors, teachers and villagers all over the world. In 1962, he brought more than five hundred of them together in a book called Diffusion of Innovations.

Rogers found the same pattern almost everywhere and gave names to the groups. First come the innovators (about 2.5% of people), who love taking risks. Then the early adopters (13.5%), respected people whom others watch and copy. Then the early majority (34%) and the late majority (34%), and finally the laggards (16%), who prefer the old ways.

The book became one of the most cited works in the social sciences. In 1991, a business writer, Geoffrey Moore, added a famous warning: many new products fail at the “chasm” between the early adopters, who love new things, and the early majority, who want proof. Today the curve is used to plan everything from smartphone launches to vaccination campaigns and solar panels.

Quick check — from memory, then reveal:

1. What was Everett Rogers' connection to the Iowa study?

2. Which group do the others watch and copy?

3. What is Geoffrey Moore's “chasm”?

1. He grew up on an Iowa farm, and his own father had been slow to trust the new seed.

2. The early adopters.

3. The gap between the early adopters and the early majority, where many new products fail.

Discuss:
  • Is it fair to call people who don't adopt new things “laggards”? What might they know that others don't?

How the tool works

The curve shows when people adopt something new. Each section is a group with its own attitude. The shape is famous; the exact percentages are Rogers' rough guide.

Innovators2.5%Earlyadopters13.5%Earlymajority34%Latemajority34%Laggards16%Adopters over time →

Using it, step by step

  1. Choose the new idea, product or habit you want to spread.
  2. Find your innovators — they will try it just because it is new.
  3. Win the early adopters: respected people others watch. Give them something they can show and talk about.
  4. For the majority, offer proof, simplicity and stories from people like them. For laggards, remove the reasons to resist — or accept that some never will.

Try it yourself

Which group does each person belong to? Choose, then check.

1. She still uses a paper map and a phone with buttons — and she's perfectly happy that way.
2. He built his own electric car in his garage years before any big company sold one.
3. A teacher respected by her colleagues, she tries new classroom apps early and then shows the rest of the staff.
4. She bought a smartphone once most of her friends had one and it had clearly proved useful.
5. He only started online banking when his bank closed its local branch.
6. At a village meeting, a respected farmer says he'll test a new irrigation method this season, and several neighbours say they'll wait and watch his results.

1. Laggards — prefers the old ways, even now.

2. Innovators — loves risk and new things for their own sake.

3. Early adopters — an early user whom others watch and copy.

4. Early majority — waits for proof, but joins before most people.

5. Late majority — joins late, mostly because of pressure or necessity.

6. Early adopters — a trusted person others watch before they decide.

Where the tool breaks

Not a label for life. You can be an innovator with music apps and a laggard with banking.

Some innovations should not spread. The curve says nothing about whether the new thing is actually good.

Access matters. People who can't afford something aren't “laggards” — they may simply be left out.

Talk it through:
  • Which group are you in for technology? For food? For fashion?
  • Choose a new idea that you think should spread. How would you win the early adopters?

Its cousins

The Hype CycleExcitement, disappointment, then real use — another curve about new technology.
The S-CurveAdd up the bell curve over time and you get an S: slow, fast, slow.
The Product Life CycleWhat happens to a product after everyone has adopted it.
The Pareto PrincipleAnother famous curve — about how uneven the world is. Open the lesson →

Grammar — used to and would

The story begins with how farmers used to work before the change. English has two special ways to talk about past habits and past states.

used to + verb — past habits AND past states that are no longer true.
“We used to go camping every summer.” (habit)  “This café used to be a bank.” (state)
would + verb — repeated past actions only, often in stories. Not for states.
“Every evening, my grandmother would tell us stories.”  ✗ “This café would be a bank.”
Negative and question: didn't use to · Did you use to …? (no -d after did).
“I didn't use to like coffee.”  “Did you use to walk to school?”
Don't confuse with be/get used to + -ing (= be/become familiar with).
“After a month, she got used to driving on the left.”
For one single past action, use the past simple — not used to or would: “In 2010 we moved to Lisbon.”

1. used to, would, or both?

Could the gap take would as well as used to? Write used to (only used to is possible) or both.

1. My town have three cinemas; now it has none.

2. Every Sunday, my father wash the car.

3. I have long hair when I was a student.

4. Before phones, people write letters to each other.

1. used to only (a state: have three cinemas)

2. both (a repeated action)

3. used to only (a state)

4. both (a repeated action)

2. Find and fix the mistake

Each sentence has one mistake. Write the correction.

1. Did you used to play football at school? →

2. In 1998, my parents used to buy their first computer. →

3. I'm not used to get up so early. →

4. She would live in Paris before she moved to Rome. →

1. Did you use to play …

2. my parents bought their first computer (one single action)

3. I'm not used to getting up so early

4. She used to live in Paris (a state — not would)

Now describe how you used to do something ten years ago — listen to music, pay for things, meet people — and when you changed.

Speak

Use the curve on your own life and your society. Choose a task, start the timer, and talk.

Useful language: “I used to …, but now …” · “My parents would always …” · “I'm definitely an early adopter when it comes to …” · “What finally persuaded me was …”
Time remaining: 4:00
Task 1 — Your adoption story

Choose one technology or habit. How did you use to live without it, and what finally made you change?

Task 2 — Then and now

Describe how people in your family used to shop, travel or talk to each other. Which change spread fastest?

Task 3 — Spreading an idea

Choose a good habit you'd like more people to adopt. Who are the early adopters, and how would you reach the majority?

To finish — the harder questions

  1. The farmers trusted neighbours, not salesmen. Is social media today more like a neighbour or a salesman?
  2. Should governments push people to adopt new things, like digital payments, faster? What about the laggards?
  3. Is there anything you are proud to be a laggard about?
  4. From memory: tell the Iowa story in four sentences using used to, would, didn't use to and one past simple.